2025年3月24日，星期一，第1209期

小谈日首相石破茂在会见中、韩外长时悬挂“解衣”汉字书法作品

【媒体报道】

3月21日，中国外交部长王毅在日本东京出席日本首相石破茂集体会见中、日、韩三国外长时，其座位后方的墙壁上挂着一幅书法作品，上面写着“解衣”两个汉字。

【讨论纪要】

●特朗普有多急于访华，美国内部恶斗的就有多凶

3月23日，克里姆林宫称，俄乌和平谈判才刚刚开始，艰难的部分还在后面。报道援引法国媒体提供的信息，俄罗斯和乌克兰代表团将在未来48小时内分别与美国官员在沙特阿拉伯首都利雅得举行会谈。

2018年，特朗普第一任期的时候单方面宣布退出伊核协议，尽管当时的伊朗鲁哈尼政府拒绝和美国直接谈判，但却并不反对通过欧、俄为“中间人”与美国进行间接谈判。有趣的是，这次的利雅得会晤，俄罗斯和乌克兰不约而同地选择美国为“中间人”进行间接谈判。也许在美国、欧盟、俄罗斯、伊朗、乌克兰等国家和国际组织眼中，所谓的政治，就是一台戏，全靠拼演技。实际上，美国、俄罗斯和乌克兰之所以愿意坐下来谈，首要一条就是，已经超过三年仍在继续的俄乌战争让他们身心俱疲。

也许有的网友会问，在利雅得坐下来谈的几方中，到底谁最着急？

在我们看来，从白宫就此问题公开给出的目标——4月20日之前达成停火协议来观察，最急的当数特朗普政府。其在正式走马上任之前就已夸下海口，100天内要实现访华。而4月20日恰恰是特朗普上任三个月整的时间点。如果在此之前美俄关系仍不能有效缓和，那么上任100天内访华就是一句彻头彻尾的空话。

可以说，特朗普有多急于访华，美国内部恶斗的就有多凶。

3月21日，马斯克被爆将在访问五角大楼期间收听有关“美国对华潜在作战计划”的消息仍在持续发酵，在美国总统特朗普、国防部长赫格塞思在内的多方对此辟谣后，马斯克更是在自己的社交平台上公开表示，将向“五角大楼那些将错误的消息恶意泄露给某知名美国媒体的人”追责。

显然，马斯克，特朗普就是以此行动证明，“马斯克看对华秘密战争PPT”那件事，绝对是谣言，是陷害。对特朗普而言，对于这个陷阱表面针对的是马斯克，实际上针对他自己，可谓“门清儿”。不难想象的是，如果这件事不加以澄清的话，进入过五角大楼内部最核心决策地，且与中国关系甚密的马斯克的行动必然受到限制。而在美前财长保尔森基本访华以失败告终的情况下，恐怕接下来唯一有可能为特朗普求得一张“访华机票”的只有马斯克一人。

●美国的现状总会让我们想起美前国务卿基辛格说过的话——现在的美国与中国明朝末期时一模一样

如果100天内访华最终沦为一句彻头彻尾的空话，恐怕特朗普对他的老板们是不好交代的。关键在于，没有有效处理中美关系作为前提，公开、大规模开启印钞机就没有任何安全保证可言。特朗普不能把“蛋糕”做大，“朋友”会变为敌人。如果可以把“蛋糕”做大，就可化敌为友。华尔街的主体已经将特朗普选为总统，他们现在是特朗普的“盟友”，所以，尽快访华，才能防止化友为敌的情况出现。

特朗普深知，目前的美国股市，刨除内斗的影响，可能继续上涨的点基本被以“DeepSeek+华为”模式为代表的“中国因素”冲击的七零八落。以微软为例，其准备抛弃OpenAI的迹象愈发明显，因为OpenAI被迫开源让微软无利可图。此外，华为显然已经做好在PC端可以和美国随时全面切割的准备。如果说微软以后的命运不过是“第二个安卓”，微软的股票又怎么能涨得好？微软是美国科技“七姐妹”的典型代表，在DeepSeek横空出世后，尤其在华为的全面支持下，美国科技“七姐妹”（苹果、谷歌、亚马逊、微软、Meta、特斯拉、英伟达）曾长期主导全球资本市场的格局正在崩塌。对此，华尔街很清楚，除非公开、大规模开启印钞机，没有第二条出路。在华尔街看来，至少让市场认为，公开、大规模开启印钞机是安全的。也就是，市场对公开、大规模开启印钞机的第一反应非常非常重要。

美国的现状总会让我们想起美前国务卿基辛格说过的话，基辛格眼中的美国与中国明朝末期时一模一样。在我们看来，明朝的危机恐怕并非源自明朝末期，危机的种子早在明成祖朱棣时期就已经埋下。以郑和下西洋为代表的明朝“国家队”通过强化对外贸易赚取外汇（国家利益），与当时江南财阀、资本利益集团牟取私利（资本利益）之间的激烈博弈早已开始。资本利益完全不顾及国家利益，将国家和民众变得越来越穷，最终国家在愈演愈烈、毫无控制的两极分化之强烈拉扯下遂行崩溃。

值得一提的是，马斯克的很多钱是通过特斯拉的股市融资而来的，首先一条就是可以免税。这与明朝的士绅阶层疯狂兼并土地且不交税在本质上是一样的。所以，美国内部是有爆发“土木堡之变”的基础的。

●特朗普政府在阿富汗玩的这一招，虽然瞄着的是实质性瓦解中俄战略互信，但核心仍在于打通特朗普访华的各路途径

在继续展开讨论之前，让我们来看一则新闻报道。

3月23日，援引阿富汗媒体的报道称，阿富汗临时政府代理内政部长西拉杰丁·哈卡尼身边消息人士透露，美国取消了此前为捉拿他开出的1000万美元悬赏金。

在我们的长期观察中，在特朗普的第一任期，就一直想要把俄罗斯从中国身边拉走。尽管美国历届政府围绕美国内政问题争斗不断，但在对外政策上从来都是高度继承的，唯一变化的就是具体的执行手段和办法（美国从小布什，借911事件进入阿富汗，再到后来的奥巴马、特朗普、拜登，再到特朗普，他们的阿富汗政策从来是连贯的。拜登从阿富汗撤军对俄罗斯提出借道“莫斯科通道”，瞄着的仍然是实质性瓦解中俄战略互信。结果俄罗斯宁可在乌克兰和美欧支持的乌克兰打一仗，也未敢对其提供“莫斯科通道”）。

拜登上台后，企图通过策动美军撤出阿富汗留下的政治真空吸引中国，进而谋求实质性瓦解中俄战略互信。在拜登政府看来，中国在美国人离开阿富汗后一定会积极介入，结果中国并未上当，而是表现出不急于直接介入阿富汗局势后续发展的姿态，这让俄罗斯就中亚方向并未感受到强烈的紧迫感。如果中国当时上当了，拜登就可以成为“第二个尼克松”，直飞莫斯科，对俄罗斯高喊“联俄抗中”了。

到现在为止，俄罗斯在阿富汗问题上还没有后续动作，仅仅在此前表示，考虑将阿富汗塔利班从恐怖分子名单中移出。俄方提出这一说法的背景是叙利亚阿萨德政权被颠覆。

在我们看来，美方取消对阿富汗临时代理内政部长的悬赏通缉，显然对俄罗斯发出了准备重新和阿富汗临时政府建立新关系的信号，这对中国总体上是有利的。

也就是说，特朗普今天玩的这出是当年拜登政府策动美军从阿富汗撤离的“反向操作”（从拜登时期的“撤出”到现在的“重新进入”，这是一种“微调”）。意思就是，美国在阿富汗问题上有新想法，那就是与中国相向而行，如果俄罗斯不来，一旦中国在阿富汗坐大，就没俄罗斯什么事儿了，如果俄罗斯不想美国这样做，在乌克兰问题上，在4月20日之前，还是签署协议为好。

讨论到这里大家不难发现，说来说去，特朗普政府在阿富汗玩的这一招，虽然瞄着的是实质性瓦解中俄战略互信，甚至已经毫不掩饰，但其这样做的急务仍在于打通特朗普访华的各路关节。一旦特朗普访华成行，就可以立刻转身对市场发出即便公开、大规模开启印钞机也是安全的强烈信号。如此一来，包括美国已经没有弹性的货币政策和美国内部的各类矛盾都能得到很大程度上的缓和，尽管这种缓和仍是阶段性的。

●有效缓和中美关系也成了捉襟见肘的美军可能进行战略腾挪的必要前提

为了更好地展开讨论，我们再来看一则新闻报道。

3月23日，伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐说，除非某些事情发生变化，否则不可能与美国谈判。

围绕胡塞武装，美国已经将“锅”甩给了伊朗。也就是说，美国明知胡塞武装背后有某大国支持，但恐怕即便有切实证据也不敢说。道理很简单，就是中国常驻联合国副大使耿爽的那句话的套用：如果中国真的支持谁谁，什么什么的局面恐怕早就不是今天这样了。

话说在2003年联合国大会上，时任利比亚总统卡扎菲当众掏出原子弹的中文说明书。讽刺的是，还没等中国进行解释，美国就立刻通过“中文是官方语言本就无可厚非”来“洗地”。道理很简单，如果美国不及时加以澄清、洗地，作为二战后美国世界霸权的重要基础之“核不扩散条约”就不复存在了。

值得一提的是，特朗普急于访华的另一个主要目的，或者说传统安全层面的目的，是想要从西太方向再向中东部署一艘航母。随着当地时间3月21日，伊朗伊斯法罕省纳坦兹附近发生5级地震或是伊朗搞得地下核试验传闻再度甚嚣尘上。对以色列内塔尼亚胡政府而言，通过迅速打造“大以色列”并成为其“国父”以巩固政权就是唯一机会，而对于内塔尼亚胡抓起电话质问特朗普：美国的航母在哪里，特朗普只能听从照办。但问题在于，不能有效缓和中美关系，美国又如何放心地从西太方向抽调航母武力威慑伊朗？

●日本和韩国作为美国西太安全框架的两个锚点，如此大玩战略投机都是明白无误地对美国不利

在本次回顾的最后，我们再来看一则新闻报道。

3月22日，中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅在东京同日本外相岩屋毅共同主持召开第六次中日经济高层对话，双方15个政府部门负责人出席。

我们注意到，第六次中日经济高层对话是时隔6年中日首次重开经济高层对话这一细节。众所周知，6年前的美国在特朗普第一任期治下。或者说，中日经济高层对话是在特朗普第一任期的时候被美国拦下来的。而到了特朗普的第二任期，中日经济高层对话已经重启，这显得非常讽刺，中国自不必说，问题是，日本极右政权眼中的美国显然已经不再是6年前的那个美国了。

毫不夸张地说，这一最新变化，将其描述为“特朗普被打脸”毫不为过。但问题在于，特朗普政府对此并未公开明确反对，就像没看到一样。

值得一提的是，在第六次中日经济高层对话的前一天，也就是3月21日，中国外交部长王毅在日本东京出席日本首相石破茂集体会见中、日、韩三国外长时，石破茂座位后方的墙壁上挂着一幅书法作品，上面写着“解衣”两个汉字。

司马迁《史记·淮阴侯列传》记载：“汉王授我上将军印，予我数万众，解衣衣我，推食食我，言听计从，故吾得以至于此。”

这是历史上大名鼎鼎的淮阴侯韩信说过的一段话，大体意思是：刘邦给我提供了上将军大印、数万兵众、脱下自己的衣服给我穿，将自己的食物给我吃，对我言听计从。背叛他是不容于天理的。我弃楚投汉，我的才华在这里得到充分地施展。于是，后世根据“解衣衣我，推食食我”，引申出成语“解衣推食”。意为与他人分享，一起应对困难。

我们注意到，对此书法，有日本媒体介绍道，此番书法再次出现，可以看出其属于日本首相官邸收藏。而日方每次悬挂，都如一句无声之言：强调加重交流沟通，促进共识之氛围。

我们不知道美国总统特朗普看到这一幕有何感受，但日、韩显然已有自己的解释：既然“大统领”特朗普急于访华，总要营造中美关系缓和的气氛，在这个问题上，日、韩乐意“效力”。更何况，美方取消对阿富汗临时代理内政部长的悬赏通缉，在阿富汗问题上选择与中国“相向而行”在前，想必“大统领”不会见怪吧。

对此，特朗普也许早就气得心里骂娘，但还说不出什么，于是只能暗气暗憋，伺机反制。当然，特朗普也在韩国总统尹锡悦弹劾案一事的后续发展上也留了一手。

特朗普知道，现在处理韩国总统尹锡悦弹劾案，时机不对。一旦宣判，尹锡悦这枚“棋子”就走死了。所以，我们也就看到韩国总统尹锡悦弹劾的最终宣判时间被推倒了4月份。而这又与前文中我们讨论的，为何美方将乌克兰问题上与俄罗斯签署协议的时间卡在4月20日是相吻合的。

值得一提的是，尽管尹锡悦的宣判时间被推迟，但韩国宪法法院驳回总理韩德洙弹劾案，韩德洙恢复总理及代总统职权。在我们看来，这是一种隐晦地对国际社会发出的威胁：言外之意就是，如果国际社会在特朗普访华的问题上仍不配合，那么，在尹锡悦的得力助手——韩德洙，被无罪释放的情况下，尹锡悦官复原职还远吗？一旦其官复原职，我让他做什么他就必须做什么！当然，特朗普政府也顺带敲打了韩国内部的所谓“亲华派”：你们在石破茂那里搞得那么热闹，别以为我不知道安的什么心！收敛一点，别太过分。尹锡悦官复原职，有你们的“好果子”吃！

在诸如中、日、韩三国尽快重启自由贸易协议之消息满天飞的背景下，日本和韩国作为美国西太安全框架的两大“锚点”，如此大玩战略投机都是明白无误地对美国不利。所以，对于美国，日本和韩国之间的尔虞我诈，钩心斗角，国际社会一笑了之便可。

声明：具体内容如有出入，请以“东方时事解读”音频为准。

Monday, March 24, 2025, Issue No. 1209

A Brief Discussion on Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba Hanging a Chinese Calligraphy Work with the Characters "Jie Yi" during His Meeting with Chinese and South Korean Foreign Ministers

[Media Coverage]

On March 21, when Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi attended the collective meeting of Chinese, Japanese and South Korean foreign ministers hosted by Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in Tokyo, Japan, there was a calligraphy work hanging on the wall behind his seat, on which the two Chinese characters "Jie Yi" were written.

【Discussion Summary】

● The more eager Trump is to visit China, the more intense the internal strife in the United States

On March 23, the Kremlin said that the Russia-Ukraine peace talks had just begun and the tough part was yet to come. The report quoted information provided by French media that the Russian and Ukrainian delegations would hold talks with U.S. officials in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, within the next 48 hours.

In 2018, during his first term, Trump unilaterally announced the withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal. Although the then Iranian Rouhani government refused to negotiate directly with the United States, it did not oppose indirect negotiations with the United States through Europe and Russia as "intermediaries". Interestingly, in this Riyadh meeting, Russia and Ukraine both chose the United States as the "intermediary" for indirect negotiations. Perhaps in the eyes of countries and international organizations such as the United States, Russia, Iran and Ukraine, so-called politics is just a drama, relying entirely on acting skills. In fact, the primary reason why the United States, Russia and Ukraine are willing to sit down and talk is that the Russia-Ukraine war, which has continued for more than three years, has exhausted them physically and mentally.

Maybe some netizens will ask, among the parties sitting down to talk in Riyadh, who is the most eager?

In our view, judging from the goal publicly set by the White House for this issue - reaching a ceasefire agreement before April 20, the most eager one should be the Trump administration. Before he officially took office, he had boasted that he would visit China within 100 days. And April 20 is exactly the third month after Trump took office. If the U.S.-Russia relations cannot be effectively eased before then, visiting China within 100 days after taking office will be nothing but an empty promise.

It can be said that the more eager Trump is to visit China, the more intense the internal strife in the United States.

On March 21, the news that Musk was exposed to listen to information about the "potential U.S. combat plan against China" during his visit to the Pentagon continued to ferment. After U.S. President Trump, Defense Secretary Hagens and others refuted it, Musk publicly stated on his social media platform that he would hold accountable those who maliciously leaked false information to a well-known U.S. media from the Pentagon.

Obviously, Musk and Trump are using this action to prove that the incident of "Musk looking at the secret war PPT against China" is absolutely a rumor and a frame-up. For Trump, he is very clear that although the trap seems to target Musk, it actually targets himself. It is not difficult to imagine that if this matter is not clarified, Musk's actions, who has entered the core decision-making area of the Pentagon and has a close relationship with China, will surely be restricted. And with the previous visit of former U.S. Treasury Secretary Paulson to China basically ending in failure, perhaps the only one who may get a "ticket to visit China" for Trump next is Musk.

● The current situation of the United States always reminds us of what former U.S. Secretary of State Kissinger said - the current United States is exactly the same as China in the late Ming Dynasty

If the visit to China within 100 days ultimately turns out to be an empty promise, Trump may find it difficult to account to his bosses. The key is that without effectively handling Sino-U.S. relations as a prerequisite, there is no guarantee of safety in publicly and massively turning on the money-printing machine. If Trump cannot make the "cake" bigger, his "friends" will turn into enemies. If he can make the "cake" bigger, he can turn enemies into friends. The main body of Wall Street has elected Trump as president, and they are now Trump's "allies". Therefore, visiting China as soon as possible is the only way to prevent friends from turning into enemies.

Trump is well aware that the current U.S. stock market, excluding the impact of internal strife, may have its potential upward points shattered by the "China factor" represented by the "DeepSeek + Huawei" model. Taking Microsoft as an example, the signs that it is ready to abandon OpenAI are becoming increasingly obvious because OpenAI's forced open-source has made Microsoft unprofitable. In addition, Huawei is clearly ready to completely cut off from the United States on the PC side at any time. If Microsoft's future fate is just to be the "second Android", how can Microsoft's stock price rise well? Microsoft is a typical representative of the "Seven Sisters" of U.S. technology. After the emergence of DeepSeek and especially with the full support of Huawei, the pattern in which the "Seven Sisters" of U.S. technology (Apple, Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia) once dominated the global capital market for a long time is collapsing. Wall Street is very clear about this. Unless it publicly and massively turns on the money-printing machine, there is no other way out. In the eyes of Wall Street, at least making the market think that publicly and massively turning on the money-printing machine is safe is very important. That is, the market's first reaction to publicly and massively turning on the money-printing machine is extremely crucial.

The current situation of the United States always reminds us of what former U.S. Secretary of State Kissinger said. In Kissinger's eyes, the current United States is exactly the same as China in the late Ming Dynasty. In our view, the crisis of the Ming Dynasty may not have originated in the late Ming Dynasty. The seeds of the crisis had already been sown as early as the period of Emperor Chengzu Zhu Di of the Ming Dynasty. The fierce competition between the "national team" of the Ming Dynasty represented by Zheng He's voyages to the Western Seas, which earned foreign exchange (national interests) through strengthening foreign trade, and the Jiangnan comprador and capitalist interest groups, which sought private interests (capital interests), had already begun. The capital interests completely ignored the national interests, making the country and the people poorer and poorer. Eventually, the country collapsed under the increasingly intense and uncontrolled polarization.

It is worth mentioning that much of Musk's money comes from the stock market financing of Tesla. The first advantage is tax exemption. This is essentially the same as the gentry class in the Ming Dynasty crazily annexing land without paying taxes. Therefore, there is a basis for the "Tumu Crisis" to break out within the United States.

● The move played by the Trump administration in Afghanistan, although aiming at substantially undermining the strategic mutual trust between China and Russia, still focuses on clearing the way for Trump's visit to China

Before continuing the discussion, let's take a look at a news report.

On March 23, according to a report by Afghan media, sources close to acting Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqani of the Afghan interim government revealed that the United States had canceled the previously offered $10 million bounty for his capture.

In our long-term observation, during Trump's first term, he had always wanted to drive Russia away from China. Although successive U.S. governments have been constantly struggling over domestic political issues, they have always highly inherited their foreign policies. The only change has been the specific implementation methods and means (from George W. Bush entering Afghanistan after the 9/11 attacks, to Obama, Trump, Biden, and then back to Trump, their Afghanistan policies have always been coherent. Biden's withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan and his proposal for Russia to provide a "Moscow corridor" still aimed at substantially undermining the strategic mutual trust between China and Russia. As a result, Russia would rather fight a war in Ukraine with the United States and Europe-backed Ukraine than provide a "Moscow corridor" for it).

After Biden took office, he attempted to attract China through the political vacuum left by the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, and then sought to substantially undermine the strategic mutual trust between China and Russia. In the eyes of the Biden administration, China would surely actively intervene after the Americans left Afghanistan. However, China did not take the bait and showed no rush to directly intervene in the subsequent development of the Afghan situation, which made Russia not feel a strong sense of urgency in the Central Asian direction. If China had taken the bait at that time, Biden could have become the "second Nixon" and flown directly to Moscow, shouting "Join hands with Russia to counter China" to Russia.

So far, Russia has not taken any follow-up actions on the Afghan issue. It only previously stated that it was considering removing the Taliban in Afghanistan from the list of terrorists. The background for Russia's proposal was the overthrow of the Assad regime in Syria.

In our view, the U.S. cancellation of the bounty for the acting interior minister of the Afghan interim government clearly sends a signal to Russia that it is ready to re-establish relations with the Afghan interim government, which is generally beneficial to China.

That is to say, what Trump is doing today is the "reverse operation" of the Biden administration's move to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan back then (from "withdrawal" during Biden's tenure to "re-entry" now, which is a kind of "fine-tuning"). It means that the United States has new ideas on the Afghan issue, that is, to move in the same direction as China. If Russia doesn't come, once China grows stronger in Afghanistan, there will be nothing left for Russia. If Russia doesn't want the United States to do so, it is better to sign an agreement on the Ukrainian issue before April 20.

As we discuss this far, it is not difficult to find that although the move played by the Trump administration in Afghanistan aims at substantially undermining the strategic mutual trust between China and Russia and is even blatant about it, its urgent task is still to clear the way for Trump's visit to China. Once Trump's visit to China is realized, he can immediately turn around and send a strong signal to the market that even publicly and massively turning on the money-printing machine is safe. In this way, various problems such as the inflexible U.S. monetary policy and various internal contradictions in the United States can be greatly alleviated, although this alleviation is still temporary.

● Effectively easing Sino-U.S. relations has also become a necessary prerequisite for the cash-strapped U.S. military to conduct strategic maneuvers

To better carry out the discussion, let's take another look at a news report.

On March 23, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that unless something changes, it would be impossible to negotiate with the United States.

Regarding the Houthis, the United States has shifted the "blame" to Iran. That is to say, the United States knows that there is the support of a major country behind the Houthis, but it probably dares not say so even if it has solid evidence. The reason is simple. It is just an application of what Chinese Deputy Permanent Representative to the United Nations Geng Shuang said: If China really supports someone, the situation would not be what it is today.

It is said that at the 2003 United Nations General Assembly, then Libyan President Gaddafi publicly took out the Chinese instruction manual of an atomic bomb. Ironically, before China could explain, the United States immediately "whitewashed" it by saying that it was justifiable for Chinese to be the official language. The reason is simple. If the United States does not clarify and whitewash in time, the "Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons", an important foundation of the U.S. world hegemony after World War II, will no longer exist.

It is worth mentioning that another main purpose of Trump's eagerness to visit China, or in terms of traditional security, is to deploy another aircraft carrier from the Western Pacific to the Middle East. With the magnitude 5 earthquake near Natanz in Isfahan Province, Iran, on March 21 local time or the rumor of an underground nuclear test by Iran resurfacing again, for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, quickly building a "Greater Israel" and becoming its "father" to consolidate his regime is the only opportunity. And when Netanyahu picked up the phone and asked Trump where the U.S. aircraft carrier was, Trump could only follow suit. But the problem is that without effectively easing Sino-U.S. relations, how can the United States be at ease to withdraw aircraft carrier forces from the Western Pacific to deter Iran?

● Japan and South Korea, as the two anchors of the U.S. Western Pacific security framework, are clearly playing strategic speculations that are unmistakably unfavorable to the United States

At the end of this review, let's take another look at a news report.

On March 22, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, co-chaired the sixth China-Japan High-Level Economic Dialogue with Japanese Foreign Minister Toshihiro Nikai in Tokyo. Heads of 15 government departments from both sides attended.

We note the detail that the sixth China-Japan High-Level Economic Dialogue is the first time the two countries have restarted the economic high-level dialogue in six years. As we all know, six years ago, the United States was under the governance of Trump during his first term. Or rather, the China-Japan High-Level Economic Dialogue was blocked by the United States during Trump's first term. By the time of Trump's second term, the China-Japan High-Level Economic Dialogue had been restarted, which is quite ironic. Needless to say about China. The problem is that the far-right regime in Japan apparently no longer sees the United States as the same one six years ago.

It is no exaggeration to say that this latest change can be described as "Trump being slapped in the face" without exaggeration. However, the Trump administration did not publicly and clearly oppose it, just as if it hadn't seen it.

It is worth mentioning that on March 21, the day before the sixth China-Japan High-Level Economic Dialogue, when Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi attended the collective meeting of Chinese, Japanese and South Korean foreign ministers hosted by Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba in Tokyo, there was a calligraphy work hanging on the wall behind Ishiba's seat, on which the two Chinese characters "Jie Yi" were written.

According to "Biographies of Marquis of Huaiyin" in "Records of the Grand Historian" by Sima Qian, it is recorded that "The King of Han bestowed upon me the seal of general and tens of thousands of troops. He took off his clothes to dress me and shared his food with me. He listened to my words and followed my advice. Therefore, I was able to achieve what I have today."

This is a remark made by the famous Marquis of Huaiyin Han Xin in history. Generally speaking, it means that Liu Bang provided him with the seal of general, tens of thousands of troops, took off his own clothes for him to wear and shared his food with him. He listened to Han Xin's words and followed his advice. It is unacceptable to betray him. Han Xin defected from Chu to Han, and his talents were fully demonstrated here. As a result, later generations derived the idiom "Jie Yi Tui Shi" from "Jie Yi Yi Wo, Tui Shi Shi Wo", meaning to share with others and jointly cope with difficulties.

We note that regarding this calligraphy, some Japanese media introduced that this calligraphy has reappeared, indicating that it belongs to the collection of the Japanese Prime Minister's official residence. And every time the Japanese side hangs it, it is like a silent statement: emphasizing and intensifying exchanges and communication to promote an atmosphere of consensus.

We don't know what feelings U.S. President Trump had when he saw this scene, but Japan and South Korea clearly have their own interpretations: Since "President Trump" is eager to visit China, it is necessary to create an atmosphere of easing Sino-U.S. relations. On this issue, Japan and South Korea are willing to "serve". Moreover, the U.S. cancellation of the bounty for the acting interior minister of the Afghan interim government and choosing to "move in the same direction" with China on the Afghan issue beforehand, presumably "President Trump" won't mind.

Regarding this, Trump may have been cursing inwardly long ago but couldn't say anything, so he could only hold his anger and wait for an opportunity to counterattack. Of course, Trump also left a way out for the subsequent development of South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment case.

Trump knows that the timing is not right to deal with South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment case now. Once the verdict is announced, Yoon Suk-yeol, this "chess piece", will be dead. So, we have seen that the final verdict time for South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's impeachment has been pushed to April. And this coincides with what we discussed earlier about why the United States set the time to sign an agreement with Russia on the Ukrainian issue on April 20.

It is worth mentioning that although the verdict time for Yoon Suk-yeol has been postponed, the Constitutional Court of South Korea has rejected the impeachment case of Prime Minister Han Duck-soo, and Han Duck-soo has resumed his post as prime minister and acting president. In our view, this is a veiled threat to the international community: The implication is that if the international community still does not cooperate on Trump's visit to China, then with Han Duck-soo, Yoon Suk-yeol's capable assistant, being acquitted, how far is it for Yoon Suk-yeol to return to his post? Once he returns to his post, he must do whatever I ask him to do! Of course, the Trump administration also took this opportunity to give a warning to the so-called "pro-China faction" within South Korea: You made such a fuss at Ishiba's place. Don't think I don't know what you're up to! Behave yourselves and don't go too far. If Yoon Suk-yeol returns to his post, you will have "good fruits" to eat!

Against the backdrop of news that China, Japan and South Korea are eager to restart the free trade agreement as soon as possible, Japan and South Korea, as the two "anchors" of the U.S. Western Pacific security framework, are clearly playing strategic speculations that are unmistakably unfavorable to the United States. Therefore, the international community can just laugh off the infighting and scheming between Japan and South Korea.

Disclaimer: In case of any discrepancies in the specific content, please refer to the 'Eastern Current Affairs Interpretation Audio' for the most accurate information.

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