2024年12月24日，星期二，第1138期

拜登政府结束任期只剩26天之际，“美国务院警告美国公民尽快离开白俄”传递出什么信号？

【媒体报道】

12月23日，伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬在伊朗首都德黑兰会见俄罗斯副总理奥韦尔丘克和萨维利耶夫率领的俄罗斯代表团。据报道，俄罗斯代表团邀请佩泽希齐扬于明年年初访问俄罗斯。

12月23日，以色列国防部长卡茨在一次活动发言中承认以色列对巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵抗运动（哈马斯）前领导人哈尼亚被暗杀负有责任。这是以色列官方首次公开承认其对暗杀哈尼亚负有责任。

12月23日，美国国务院发布建议公告，任何美国人都不应前往白俄罗斯，已经在那里的人应一有机会就离开。华盛顿在2020年以选举不规范为由对明斯克实施制裁，并在2022年2月俄乌冲突爆发后关闭了美国驻该国的大使馆和领事馆。
公告的发布日期为12月18日，但在23日才引起公众注意。

【讨论纪要】

●拜登与特朗普，基于当前阶段的不同利益诉求，在乌克兰方向各自营造氛围

我们注意到12月22日，莫斯科市和莫斯科州过去一天中发生十多起自动取款机被焚烧和烟花爆竹在公共场所爆炸事件的新闻报道。显然，有人在俄罗斯社会故意制造紧张气氛以牵扯俄罗斯决策层的注意力。对此，我们再次提醒俄罗斯决策层，务必高度警惕西方邪恶势力瞄着以白俄罗斯为典型代表的乌克兰方向与以叙利亚局势后续发展为典型代表的中东方向“声东击西”的险恶用心。

我们首先关注乌克兰方向。

12月18日，美国国务院发布了一份公告，要求美国公民不要前往白俄罗斯，并且已经在那里的美国人应尽快离开。值得一提的是，这份公告直到23日才被各大媒体广泛报道。美国政府声称，白俄罗斯政府任意执行法律，存在被拘留的风险，同时可能爆发内乱。此外，美国还提到白俄罗斯与乌克兰冲突中的角色，暗示地区安全风险加剧。

在我们看来，还有不到30天就要下台的拜登政府，基于围绕本次美国总统大选展开的内部博弈，甚至基于美国国家利益，都有动机在白俄罗斯问题上做文章。比如，如新闻报道中美国政府宣称的，白俄罗斯政府任意执行法律，存在被拘留的风险，同时可能爆发内乱。正所谓山雨欲来风满楼，这首先是一种基于心理战层面，刻意营造“白俄罗斯随时可能出事儿”的紧张气氛。显然，对于刚刚声嘶力竭地宣称“将竭尽全力确保白俄罗斯安全”的俄罗斯而言，如何将这句话落地执行，且让白俄罗斯相信这是真实有效的，成为摆在其眼前的一道棘手的难题。

值得一提的是，就在拜登政府极力营造“白俄罗斯随时可能出事儿”的同时，美国的候任总统特朗普也在营造气氛。意图通过表达“愿意与普京谈乌克兰问题”稳住俄罗斯，不要急于对拜登政府的挑衅做出激烈反应。

●叙利亚局势搅乱却让内塔尼亚胡小集团有机会获得“大胜”，这不是拜登政府想要看到的

其次我们再来看看中东方向。

目前，内塔尼亚胡小集团正在全力以赴获得“大胜”。其中关键就在于，在以色列继续清剿什叶派抵抗之弧的残余势力（阿萨德政权倾覆后，黎巴嫩真主党的后勤补给被切断。哈马斯态度已经软化，甚至宣布同意以色列在加沙地带驻军，只有胡塞武装还在抗击），尤其是胡塞武装，将其消灭或重创的过程中，想尽一切手段迫使伊朗作壁上观。就像其坐视叙利亚阿萨德政权被颠覆一样。如果这些都能做到，再加上趁叙利亚再乱之际夺下戈兰高地一事，内塔尼亚胡就会成为以色列的“民族英雄”，进而极大增强内塔尼亚胡政权。现在距离这个“大胜”只有一步之遥，那就是在死死压住伊朗的情况下，解决或重创胡塞武装。

拜登不会去帮助以色列死死压住伊朗，但特朗普会。如果内塔尼亚胡小集团能够获得“大胜”，对特朗普来说，还有不到30天，接手一个以色列和伊朗之间关系相对缓和的局势，避免美军被拖下水，自然是好事一桩。当然，如果特朗普把目光从伊朗和以色列身上移开，放眼整个中东地区，尤其是叙利亚后续局势发展，恐怕又是脊背一凉。

在拜登政府看来，将叙利亚局势搅乱却让内塔尼亚胡小集团有机会获得“大胜”，这不是其想要看到的。在我们看来，“拜登不会去帮助以色列死死压住伊朗”这句话恐怕会落实在拜登政府对伊朗的不断刺激上，也就是逼着伊朗出头，逼着伊朗反抗，进而将局面向伊朗和以色列关系不断紧张，美军随时可能因两国爆发战争而被拖下水的方向加以引导。至于具体的刺激方式，一种就是通过强化对胡塞武装的打击，迫使伊朗最终因不能坐视什叶派抵抗之弧被彻底消灭而进行反击。对特朗普来说，强化对胡塞武装的打击虽然有利于内塔尼亚胡小集团获得“大胜”，但关键在于，如何死死压住伊朗。也就是说，拜登和特朗普都以强化对胡塞武装的军事打击为切入点意图达成自己的目的，只是拜登借此去强烈刺激伊朗，而特朗普则试图在死死压住伊朗的同时推动内塔尼亚胡小集团尽快解决掉胡塞武装。

对拜登政府来说，除了通过强化军事打击胡塞武装强烈刺激伊朗、进而破坏内塔尼亚胡小集团获得“大胜”这一渠道外，另一个破坏内塔尼亚胡小集团获得“大胜”渠道就是瞄着以色列刚刚夺取的戈兰高地做文章，也就是通过进一步推动叙利亚局势后续发展变得更加混沌、混乱，对内塔尼亚胡小集团通过占领戈兰高地巩固政权的企图加以干扰与狙击。

目前，已经介入叙利亚局势后续发展，且“浮出水面”的势力主要有，土耳其以及其支持的“沙姆解放阵线”（叙利亚临时政府），以色列，欧盟。所以，激化这几家之间的矛盾，挑拨他们之间的关系就是拜登政府意图更深度搅乱叙利亚局势的主要手段之一。尤其在俄罗斯、伊朗在介入叙利亚局势后续发展后，如果俄罗斯和伊朗选择协助土耳其以及其背后的欧盟，那么在争抢叙利亚势力范围的问题上，土耳其和以色列之间的矛盾就会被激化。值得一提的是，就在近日，土耳其总统埃尔多安已经明确表示，叙利亚的领土和主权不容侵犯，以色列必须从其占领的叙利亚土地上离开。

●从内政角度，也就是拜登和特朗普内斗的角度，与外政角度，也就是拜登和特朗普协调的角度观察白俄罗斯

综上所述，大家不难看出，在未来不到30天的时间里，对特朗普而言，绝对是“时间紧，任务重”。而特朗普深知，乌克兰方向也好，中东方向也罢，稳住局面的关键在这之外，也就是中国的影响力。在特朗普看来，只要能稳住中国，很多他想要推动的事情就成功了一大半，否则，顺利过渡一定非常困难。所以，在我们看来，美国总统安全事务助理沙利文那番“特朗普跟中国谈不成‘大买卖’”的言论恐怕也是注意到了这一点。

值得一提的是，拜登在中东方向对以色列施压与在乌克兰方向对俄罗斯施压的方式不同。前者，拜登不能明着做，只能间接去破坏内塔尼亚胡小集团获得“大胜”。后者，拜登则可以公开做，通过威胁白俄罗斯迫使俄罗斯就范（迫使俄罗斯更深，更快介入中东事务，比如，叙利亚局势后续发展）。

在这种情况下就凸显出白俄罗斯战略处境的恶劣性，以及特朗普与普京建立沟通渠道的重要性。但我们仍然要强调，拜登绝不会给普京26天的时间，安安稳稳地等待特朗普上台。在我们看来，拜登一定会在乌克兰方向，中东方向搞出大事，甚至在西太方向铤而走险、战略冒险的可能性也不能排除。上文中提及的“美国务院警告美国公民尽快离开白俄”之新闻报道大家可以从这个层面加以理解。

上面我们提到了“拜登在中东方向对以色列施压与在乌克兰方向对俄罗斯施压的方式是不同”，在我们看来，除此之外，对拜登而言，在这两个战略方向可以折腾的幅度也有所不同。也就是说，相比于乌克兰局势，中东局势，由于距离俄罗斯，尤其是中国的影响力相对较远，中东局势相对更容易控制一些，所以可以折腾的幅度可以更猛烈一点。所以，如果我们将拜登政府在俄罗斯国内营造不稳定氛围看作是其意图在白俄罗斯问题上做文章之“声东击西”，那么通过在白俄罗斯问题上做文章之“声东击西”给俄罗斯施加最大战略压力，迫使俄罗斯更快，更深介入中东事务，比如，叙利亚局势后续发展，也是一种“声东击西”。只要能继续搅乱叙利亚局势，破坏内塔尼亚胡小集团获得“大胜”，将局势向逼迫其不得不获取“小胜”，也就是将以色列的战争转化为美国的战争，甚至北约的战争，乃至整个西方的战争的方向加以引导，压着特朗普来和他继续谈交易就行！

话说回来，如果上述战略意图拜登政府无法达成，也就是不能继续搅乱叙利亚局势，不排除其在相对于西太方向更安全一些的乌克兰问方向铤而走险、战略冒险的可能性。这个时候的白俄罗斯那就真的危险了。甚至会有北约军事挑衅、军事入侵白俄罗斯、策动白俄罗斯内部动乱等重大事件出现。一旦俄罗斯忍无可忍全面反击，那么乌克兰局势就可能迅速走向失控，那么特朗普上台就会接手一个俄罗斯和北约直接开战的烂摊子。显然，拜登在用这种可能性对特朗普进行讹诈。

需要强调的是，特朗普也许能按住叙利亚局势，但恐怕不容易按住乌克兰局势，因为拜登不能对以色列强迫做什么，而且内塔尼亚胡小集团也认定现在，也就是特朗普上台前是其谋求“大胜”的千载难逢的好机会。但却可以强迫立陶宛、乌克兰这些“炮灰”做什么，比如，军事挑衅白俄罗斯，军事打击白俄罗斯，在白俄罗斯内部制造动乱等。拜登的意思很明白，虽然我快下台了，但只要我还是美国总统一天，我就说了算一天，俄罗斯必须配合！对普京而言，当然可以继续等，但这也是在赌，赌白俄罗斯不会出大事。但问题在于，一旦上述重大事件发生，白俄罗斯，俄罗斯救，还是不救？！也就是这个眼前的坑，俄罗斯跳还是不跳。如果选择救白俄罗斯，俄罗斯也就跳坑了。当然，在我们看来，这是“小坑”，那就看此时此刻俄罗斯如何对阿富汗政策小九九进行重新认识了。如果俄罗斯认为这不是“小坑”而不跳，那俄罗斯很可能因为规避“小坑”而跳入“大坑”，也就是俄白联盟被瓦解，俄罗斯核威慑有效性被解除，甚至普京政权被颠覆，俄罗斯内部大乱等等。

这就是伴随战略攻击战略测试，重点就在白俄罗斯。如此看，拜登和特朗普围绕中东局势，尤其是叙利亚局势后续发展进行的博弈，似乎又在为上述可能性提供一种不易为人察觉的战略掩护。

●随时可能公开伊朗总统莱希遇难事件之“真相”是在特朗普支持下的以色列想尽一切办法压住伊朗的具体手段之一

伊朗最大的危险来自内部。而失去白俄罗斯的俄罗斯就会像伊朗现在（什叶派抵抗之弧被拦腰截断）一样危机四伏。

如果伊朗继续这样妥协下去，其在中东局势后续发展过程中大概率会被边缘化，“潜力股”胡塞武装，如果其真的是可塑之才，则会在各方介入和支持下，会迅速壮大，甚至变为什叶派新领袖，而此时大概率与伊朗之间关系复杂化的伊拉克不排除和胡塞武装进行某种横向联系的可能性。

此外，提醒伊朗决策层的是，以色列官方首次公开承认暗杀哈马斯前领导人哈尼亚是明摆着在暗示，随时可能公开伊朗总统莱希遇难事件之“真相”。这就是在特朗普支持下的以色列想尽一切办法压住伊朗的具体手段之一。所以，到现在为止，伊朗仍然处于“伸头一刀，缩头也是一刀”的被动战略处境之中。一味妥协下去的恶果已经显现，再不调整，后悔晚矣。

声明：具体内容如有出入，请以“东方时事解读”音频为准。

December 24, 2024, Tuesday, Issue 1139

Title: What Signals Does the "US State Department Warning US Citizens to Leave Belarus ASAP" Convey as the Biden Administration's Tenure Ends in Just 26 Days?

Media Reports:

On December 23, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi met with a Russian delegation led by Deputy Prime Ministers Alexei Overchuk and Marat Khusnullin in Tehran. The Russian delegation invited Raisi to visit Russia next year.

Also on December 23, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant admitted during an event speech that Israel was responsible for the assassination of former Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. This was the first time the Israeli government publicly acknowledged its responsibility for Haniyeh's assassination.

On December 23, the US State Department issued an advisory recommending that no Americans travel to Belarus and that those already there should leave when an opportunity arises. Washington imposed sanctions on Minsk in 2020 for alleged electoral irregularities and closed its embassy and consulates in the country after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022.

The advisory was dated December 18 but only gained public attention on the 23rd.

Discussion Summary:

●Biden and Trump: Creating Different Atmospheres in Ukraine Based on Current Interests

We noted news reports on December 22 of over ten ATM burning incidents and fireworks exploding in public places in Moscow and Moscow Oblast over the past day. Clearly, someone is deliberately creating tensions in Russian society to distract the decision-making layer. We once again remind the Russian decision-makers to be highly vigilant against the sinister intentions of Western forces aiming at "diverting attention" from the Ukraine direction, represented by Belarus, to the Middle East direction, represented by the follow-up development of the Syrian situation.

First, let's focus on the Ukraine direction.

On December 18, the US State Department issued an advisory urging US citizens not to travel to Belarus and for those already there to leave as soon as possible. It is worth mentioning that this advisory was widely reported by major media outlets only on the 23rd. The US government claimed that the Belarusian government arbitrarily enforces laws, posing detention risks, and that civil unrest could erupt. In addition, the US mentioned Belarus's role in the Ukraine conflict, suggesting increased regional security risks.

In our view, with less than 30 days left in office, the Biden administration has motives to make an issue out of Belarus based on internal politics surrounding the US presidential election and even national interests. For example, as claimed by the US government in news reports, the Belarusian government arbitrarily enforces laws, posing detention risks, and potential civil unrest. This is first and foremost a psychological warfare strategy to deliberately create a tense atmosphere that "something might go wrong in Belarus anytime soon." Obviously, for Russia, which has just vociferously declared that it will "do its utmost to ensure Belarus's security," how to implement this promise and convince Belarus of its sincerity has become a pressing challenge.

It is worth mentioning that while the Biden administration is striving to create the tense atmosphere in Belarus, the US President-elect Trump is also creating an atmosphere by expressing a willingness to talk with Putin about Ukraine issues to stabilize Russia and prevent it from making drastic responses to Biden administration provocations.

●The chaotic situation in Syria has provided an opportunity for Netanyahu's faction to achieve a "landslide victory," which is not what the Biden administration wants to see.

Next, let's look at the Middle East direction.

Currently, Netanyahu's group is fully committed to achieving a "great victory." The key lies in, during Israel's continued crackdown on the remnants of the Shia resistance axis (after the overthrow of the Assad regime in Syria, Lebanon's Hezbollah lost its logistical support. Hamas has softened its stance and even announced its agreement to allow Israel to station troops in the Gaza Strip, while only the Houthis are still resisting), especially the Houthis, to eliminate or heavily hit them while doing everything possible to force Iran to stay on the sidelines. Just as it stood by and watched the overthrow of the Syrian Assad regime. If these goals are achieved, along with seizing the Golan Heights amid Syria's chaos, Netanyahu will become a "national hero" in Israel, significantly strengthening his regime. Now, they are only one step away from this "great victory," which is to resolve or heavily hit the Houthis while keeping Iran under pressure.

Biden will not help Israel keep Iran under pressure, but Trump will. If Netanyahu's group achieves a "great victory," for Trump, who will take office in less than 30 days, inheriting a situation where relations between Israel and Iran are relatively calm and avoiding dragging US troops into the water would be a good thing. Of course, if Trump shifts his focus away from Iran and Israel and looks at the entire Middle East region, especially the subsequent development of the Syrian situation, he may feel uneasy again.

From the Biden administration's perspective, stirring up the Syrian situation while allowing Netanyahu's group to have the opportunity to achieve a "great victory" is not what it wants to see. In our view, the statement "Biden will not help Israel keep Iran under pressure" will likely be implemented through the Biden administration's constant provocation of Iran, forcing Iran to take action and further escalate tensions between Iran and Israel, potentially dragging US troops into the conflict. As for specific provocation methods, one is to intensify military strikes against the Houthis, forcing Iran to retaliate eventually, unable to sit idle as the Shia resistance axis is eliminated. For Trump, intensifying strikes against the Houthis is conducive to Netanyahu's group achieving a "great victory," but the key lies in how to keep Iran under pressure. That is, both Biden and Trump aim to achieve their goals through intensified military strikes against the Houthis, but Biden uses it to strongly provoke Iran, while Trump tries to keep Iran under pressure while pushing Netanyahu's group to quickly resolve the Houthis issue.

For the Biden administration, besides strongly provoking Iran through intensified military strikes against the Houthis to undermine Netanyahu's group's chances of achieving a "great victory," another way to disrupt Netanyahu's group's plans is to focus on the Golan Heights recently captured by Israel, further complicating the Syrian situation's subsequent development and interfering with and sabotaging Netanyahu's group's attempts to consolidate power by occupying the Golan Heights.

Currently, the forces that have intervened in the subsequent development of the Syrian situation and "surfaced" mainly include Turkey and its supported Syrian Interim Government (Jaysh al-Sham), Israel, and the EU. Therefore, exacerbating conflicts among these forces and stirring up relationships among them are among the main means for the Biden administration to deeply stir up the Syrian situation. Especially after Russia and Iran's intervention in the Syrian situation's subsequent development, if Russia and Iran choose to assist Turkey and the EU behind it, then tensions between Turkey and Israel over competing for influence in Syria will escalate. It is worth mentioning that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has recently stated that Syria's territory and sovereignty are inviolable and that Israel must withdraw from the Syrian land it occupies.

●From the perspective of domestic politics, i.e., the internal struggle between Biden and Trump, and from the perspective of foreign policy, i.e., coordination between Biden and Trump, let's observe Belarus.

All in all, it is evident that Trump faces a tight schedule with heavy responsibilities in the coming 30 days. Trump is well aware that whether it's the situation in Ukraine or the Middle East, the key to stabilizing the situation lies beyond these regions, namely in China's influence. In Trump's view, as long as he can stabilize China, many of the things he wants to promote will be halfway successful. Otherwise, a smooth transition will be very difficult. Therefore, we believe that National Security Advisor Sullivan's remark that "Trump cannot strike a 'big deal' with China" may also stem from this observation.

It's worth noting that Biden's approach to pressuring Israel in the Middle East differs from his approach to pressuring Russia in Ukraine. In the former case, Biden cannot act openly and can only indirectly undermine the Netanyahu faction's quest for a "decisive victory." In the latter case, Biden can act publicly, threatening Belarus to coerce Russia into complying (forcing Russia to intervene deeper and faster in Middle Eastern affairs, such as the subsequent development of the Syrian situation).

This highlights the precarious strategic position of Belarus and the importance of establishing a communication channel between Trump and Putin. However, we must emphasize that Biden will not give Putin 26 days to wait calmly for Trump to take office. In our view, Biden will definitely stir up major events in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the possibility of taking strategic risks in the Western Pacific cannot be ruled out either. The news report mentioned earlier about the U.S. State Department warning American citizens to leave Belarus as soon as possible can be understood from this perspective.

We mentioned earlier that "Biden's approach to pressuring Israel in the Middle East differs from his approach to pressuring Russia in Ukraine." In our view, in addition, the extent to which Biden can stir things up in these two strategic directions also differs. That is, compared to the situation in Ukraine and the Middle East, the Middle East situation is relatively easier to control due to its relative distance from Russia, especially China's influence. Therefore, Biden can stir things up more vigorously in the Middle East. So, if we view the Biden administration's efforts to create instability in Russia as a "diversionary tactic" intended to make moves on the Belarus issue, then using the Belarus issue as a "diversionary tactic" to exert maximum strategic pressure on Russia and force Russia to intervene deeper and faster in Middle Eastern affairs, such as the subsequent development of the Syrian situation, is also a "diversionary tactic." As long as the Syrian situation can continue to be stirred up, preventing the Netanyahu faction from achieving a "decisive victory," and guiding the situation towards forcing them to settle for a "minor victory," that is, transforming Israel's war into America's war, or even NATO's war, or even the war of the entire West, and pressuring Trump to continue negotiating with him, that would suffice!

However, if the Biden administration cannot achieve the aforementioned strategic intent, that is, if it cannot continue to stir up the Syrian situation, it cannot be ruled out that it may take strategic risks and act recklessly in the Ukraine direction, which is relatively safer than the Western Pacific. At this point, Belarus will be in real danger. There may even be major events such as NATO military provocations, military invasions of Belarus, and instigating internal unrest in Belarus. Once Russia can no longer tolerate it and launches a comprehensive counterattack, the situation in Ukraine may quickly spiral out of control, and Trump will take over a messy situation where Russia and NATO are directly at war. Clearly, Biden is using this possibility to blackmail Trump.

It should be emphasized that while Trump may be able to contain the situation in Syria, he may not be able to easily contain the situation in Ukraine. This is because Biden cannot force Israel to do anything, and the Netanyahu faction believes that now, before Trump takes office, is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to seek a "decisive victory." However, Biden can force "cannon fodder" countries like Lithuania and Ukraine to do things, such as militarily provoking Belarus, launching military strikes against Belarus, and creating unrest within Belarus. Biden's message is clear: although I am about to step down, as long as I am the President of the United States for one more day, I have the final say, and Russia must cooperate! For Putin, he can certainly continue to wait, but this is also a gamble, gambling that nothing major will happen to Belarus. However, the problem is that once the aforementioned major events occur, whether Russia will rescue Belarus or not becomes a question. That is, whether Russia will jump into this immediate pit or not. If Russia chooses to rescue Belarus, it will have jumped into the pit. Of course, in our view, this is a "small pit." It depends on how Russia reassesses its Afghanistan policy at this moment. If Russia believes that this is not a "small pit" and chooses not to jump in, it may jump into a "big pit" by avoiding the "small pit," such as the collapse of the Russia-Belarus Union, the neutralization of Russia's nuclear deterrence effectiveness, or even the overthrow of the Putin regime, and major internal chaos in Russia, etc.

This is accompanied by strategic attacks and tests, with a focus on Belarus. From this perspective, the game played by Biden and Trump over the Middle East situation, especially the subsequent development of the Syrian situation, seems to provide an imperceptible strategic cover for the aforementioned possibilities.

●The truth about the unfortunate incident involving Iranian President Raisi may be publicly disclosed at any time, which is one of the specific means used by Israel, with Trump's support, to suppress Iran.

Iran's greatest danger comes from within. And a Russia without Belarus would be as crisis-ridden as Iran is now (with the Shia resistance arc cut off).

If Iran continues to compromise like this, it is likely to be marginalized in the subsequent development of the Middle East situation. The "promising stock" Houthi militia, if they are truly capable, will rapidly grow with the intervention and support of various parties and may even become the new leader of the Shia. At this point, Iraq, which will probably have a complicated relationship with Iran, does not rule out the possibility of establishing some form of horizontal connection with the Houthi militia.

Furthermore, we remind the Iranian decision-makers that Israel's official acknowledgment of the assassination of former Hamas leader Haniyeh is a clear indication that the truth about the unfortunate incident involving Iranian President Raisi may be publicly disclosed at any time. This is one of the specific means used by Israel, with Trump's support, to suppress Iran. Therefore, up to now, Iran is still in a passive strategic situation where "it faces a dilemma with no good options." The consequences of continued compromise have already become apparent, and if adjustments are not made soon, it will be too late to regret.

Disclaimer: In case of any discrepancies in the specific content, please refer to the 'Eastern Current Affairs Interpretation Audio' for the most accurate information.

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